quote:
Originally posted by bomba503:
JNUG loaded up near the low on Friday. Could have a bit more to run before I take the profit and go the other way.

All losses recovered from last couple weeks and then some


posting recs after they've run up 14% in a day is not my idea of a good rec!!

it's like those bums who drink a wine, dont share with you, then tell you how great it was!
I bought some stock today in Square (SQ).
Don't buy it because I did. It seems like it is on the way up and is supposed to announced good earnings (so the rumor is) shortly. Morgan Stanley has an unfavorable view of it.

It will either go up, go down, or stay the same, unless I am totally wrong about it.
quote:
Originally posted by irwin:
I bought some stock today in Square (SQ).
Don't buy it because I did. It seems like it is on the way up and is supposed to announced good earnings (so the rumor is) shortly. Morgan Stanley has an unfavorable view of it.

It will either go up, go down, or stay the same, unless I am totally wrong about it.


I also purchased some within the past month or so along with an equal amount of Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM). I consider both medium term holds.
Anything to do with South Africa and its resource access will be skyrocketing in value with the new political climate that is about to beset it. Precious metals, rare earth minerals, domestic mining companies will all benefit from the imminent disruptions; it's going to be crazy over there!
quote:
Originally posted by Captain Cancun:
Anything to do with South Africa and its resource access will be skyrocketing in value with the new political climate that is about to beset it. Precious metals, rare earth minerals, domestic mining companies will all benefit from the imminent disruptions; it's going to be crazy over there!

I believe the continent of Africa is now a wholly owned subsidiary of China.
quote:
Originally posted by VinT:
Trade wars are good, and easy to win.


See, you are not focused on the now 26 people whom have left his administration in the first 13 months, or the 5 guilty pleas to federal crimes and more currently under indictment within his administration, or the investigations of both his daughter and son-in-law and not to mention this reality TV on guns this week that was LOL funny.

That said, yes, he is the only person that thinks trade wars will benefit America or anyone for that matter.

What a kangaroo court at its best.
quote:
Originally posted by WineTrooper:
quote:
Originally posted by g-man:
quote:
Originally posted by bfw:
quote:
Originally posted by g-man:
just like how how oil is going to reach 80$?

reading and blindly believing goldman feels intellectually lazy to me =)


Easy there Smile

Perhaps we should discuss the NKTR that you were crowing about lol! $93 to $73 in a few short days. While VLE is up over 10%...hmmm.

I am not directly long oil as I mentioned. I am long some oil equities. They are
mostly down in the correction with everything else. I believe you will see some sector rotation once the S&P and Nasdaq finish their correction. That remains to be seen...

As for Goldman, I am always wary of their calls...I’ve been investing for a long time...but I do fundamental research on the oil markets and I believe you will see them tighter by the end of the year.

Bfw


oh i've been selling every single gain/pop i've got this week. so NKTR was stilla great trade since winetrooper suggested it at 72$ and that was a nice 1 week 10% pick up.

I have 0 reason to trust any rally.

but i refuse to go outright short as i dont trust the downside either.

my goal is to try and close out all positions i enter in the day and exit them first thing in the morning.

anyhow i just found the goldman research amusing. They were harping on tuesday to go fully back in and buy all dips.

my big loser this week, unforutnately is BAC. I was rotating some stuff into financials because i'm hoping raising rates will boost bank profits and dividends in the long run. unfortunately, rotated in too soon. very sad.


NKTR is a very long hold for me. So is SGEN.

As for everything else, I’ve closed out most of it. I am now convinced we see another 10% correction/stagnation for a quarter before rising up. I can’t help but think that the end of the low interest rate party could get messy. That might in itself be the Black Swan, even though it seems “normal” and “expected.”

Opportunity will knock soon enough.

I am however curious about emerging markets and commodities for Bfw’s sector rotation. And yes g-man, the banks....how do they not win?


NKTR - great data.

Market pushing it way up.

Congrats!

Bfw
quote:
Originally posted by VinT:
I've been on the SQ roller coaster since August. And now, in typical market fashion, a positive quarterly earnings report has led to a drop in share price. At least after hours - tomorrow is another day.


Good day today for SQ!
quote:
Originally posted by sunnylea57:
I'm still big on Broadridge (BR). Up 17% since mid-November, despite the market turmoil this past month.

Now up 21% since mid-November. On a steady climb for the past 5 years. Looking at the 6 month graph, it's like someone dropped a bowling ball on the graph at the beginning of February and two weeks later it bounced back up onto the same relentless trajectory.
man i missed alot of good price movement going on vacation and not even looking!

portfolio regained all losses and then made a few!

I think i'm going to slowly go to 50-60% cash again at these levels and then just wait and see if fellow forumites have better stock hook ups =)
quote:
Originally posted by Shane T.:
I like Physicians Realty Trust ("DOC") on the dip. Excellent portfolio, lease structures/ tenants, management, and dividend. Long term hold.


what's interesting about REITs is how much the new tax laws benefit large real estate owners.

interesting space to look at esp if the management is strong.
quote:
Originally posted by g-man:
quote:
Originally posted by Shane T.:
I like Physicians Realty Trust ("DOC") on the dip. Excellent portfolio, lease structures/ tenants, management, and dividend. Long term hold.


what's interesting about REITs is how much the new tax laws benefit large real estate owners.

interesting space to look at esp if the management is strong.


You got it, bro. Great news for my industry.

I also like the cold-storage space right now. Huge space shortage + demand for last-mile deliveries is a great recipe here. Americold ("COLD") just IPO'd this year. That one looks promising.
quote:
Originally posted by g-man:
just like how how oil is going to reach 80$?

reading and blindly believing goldman feels intellectually lazy to me =)


So, do you still think oil can’t reach $80 this year?

Brent is already at $73 or so.

The energy bull is starting to snort Smile

Bfw
quote:
Originally posted by Shane T.:
quote:
Originally posted by g-man:
quote:
Originally posted by Shane T.:
I like Physicians Realty Trust ("DOC") on the dip. Excellent portfolio, lease structures/ tenants, management, and dividend. Long term hold.


what's interesting about REITs is how much the new tax laws benefit large real estate owners.

interesting space to look at esp if the management is strong.


You got it, bro. Great news for my industry.

I also like the cold-storage space right now. Huge space shortage + demand for last-mile deliveries is a great recipe here. Americold ("COLD") just IPO'd this year. That one looks promising.


Brookfield has got into this space as well (through Nova Cold) and they are in my mind some of the smartest money in the world.
quote:
Originally posted by bfw:
quote:
Originally posted by g-man:
just like how how oil is going to reach 80$?

reading and blindly believing goldman feels intellectually lazy to me =)


So, do you still think oil can’t reach $80 this year?

Brent is already at $73 or so.

The energy bull is starting to snort Smile

Bfw


we were talking about WTI
not brent.

WTI, last I check is still sitting at 64?

even so, you needed to thank syria to even get at those levels.

personally, I went long BP stock down at 38$ when WTI was sitting at 59.

good long term, good dividends and strongest position out of the big oil co.s

and i'll quote myself back in early feb
quote:
Originally posted by g-man:
I'd say 75$ is the possibility and 80$ is the stretch. but with WTI @ 65$. 80$ only represents a 23% gain. That's a long holding period / risk for so little gain.


i'd say i'm pretty spot on.
quote:
Originally posted by g-man:
quote:
Originally posted by bfw:
quote:
Originally posted by g-man:
just like how how oil is going to reach 80$?

reading and blindly believing goldman feels intellectually lazy to me =)


So, do you still think oil can’t reach $80 this year?

Brent is already at $73 or so.

The energy bull is starting to snort Smile

Bfw


we were talking about WTI
not brent.

WTI, last I check is still sitting at 64?

even so, you needed to thank syria to even get at those levels.

personally, I went long BP stock down at 38$ when WTI was sitting at 59.

good long term, good dividends and strongest position out of the big oil co.s

and i'll quote myself back in early feb
quote:
Originally posted by g-man:
I'd say 75$ is the possibility and 80$ is the stretch. but with WTI @ 65$. 80$ only represents a 23% gain. That's a long holding period / risk for so little gain.


i'd say i'm pretty spot on.


WTI at $64?!?

WTI hit a 3 year high today and is currently trading just south of $67.

The best part is that most people think this is all about Syria. That is mainstream news. They don’t really look in to inventory levels and study the lack of a shoulder season in the US this year.

Years of underinvestment in oil exploration have set the stage for a boom cycle in oil price. If inventories were not tight, Syrian news would have zero effect on WTI. We saw this all along in 2015-2017 whenever there were outages in Nigeria etc or issues in the Middle East.

Everyone has said energy is dead for years now and oil (WTI) has rallied from a low of $26 to $67. That’s pretty substantial and indicative of a bull market.

Finally, I (and most) play equities that are very levered to the price of oil so a rise to $75 or $80 will lead to large equity price gains from depressed levels.

Risk reward in the space is excellent.

Stick to the big companies if you must but way more bang for the buck in the smaller E&P.

Bfw
quote:
Originally posted by WineTrooper:
Give us some names please


It should be like shooting fish in a barrel.

Here are a few you can research:

CPG, BTE, CVE, DNR, REN

BTW, I don’t mean to sound abrasive or rude but I just hate how the media seems to be misleading us when inventories are crashing.

Bfw
quote:
Originally posted by bfw:
quote:
Originally posted by WineTrooper:
Give us some names please


It should be like shooting fish in a barrel.

Here are a few you can research:

CPG, BTE, CVE, DNR, REN

BTW, I don’t mean to sound abrasive or rude but I just hate how the media seems to be misleading us when inventories are crashing.

Bfw


your posts do sound like a Crazy Eddie sales pitch at times =)


I checked some of the stocks you had there.

if you had bought in when we first chatted back in feb 2nd, you would have sat at an average loss of roughly 11% until, literally, yesterday where you broke even.

I won't argue mainstream news vs those in the know news, but it's a little difficult to subscribe to the "commodity markets are so inefficient" that there's is a misprice of a commodity by a significant amount.

but keep the tips coming, always enjoy reading contrarian views to keep my thoughts in check.
I really wish I would have continued playing the volatility in the OIL ETF. I could have bought cycled twice now from the mid-high 6.50 area and sold again around 7.30-7.40. It is like clockwork again. That is probably what I will do if we get another drop before summer.
quote:
Originally posted by bfw:
quote:
Originally posted by g-man:
quote:
Originally posted by bfw:
quote:
Originally posted by WineTrooper:
Give us some names please


It should be like shooting fish in a barrel.

Here are a few you can research:

CPG, BTE, CVE, DNR, REN

BTW, I don’t mean to sound abrasive or rude but I just hate how the media seems to be misleading us when inventories are crashing.

Bfw


your posts do sound like a Crazy Eddie sales pitch at times =)


I checked some of the stocks you had there.

if you had bought in when we first chatted back in feb 2nd, you would have sat at an average loss of roughly 11% until, literally, yesterday where you broke even.

I won't argue mainstream news vs those in the know news, but it's a little difficult to subscribe to the "commodity markets are so inefficient" that there's is a misprice of a commodity by a significant amount.

but keep the tips coming, always enjoy reading contrarian views to keep my thoughts in check.


I only hold a couple of the ones I listed. I’m still building my positions in them. I hold many others listed such as CJ.to which is still paying me 10% a year in divvies while I wait for more gains in the SP.

Thanks for the tip...however.

Let me know if you can beat my 90% overall portfolio gain from last year Smile

Crazy Eddie over and out....back to studying another new 3 year high for oil despite positive news on Syria :;

As for the commodity being mispriced....I said no such thing...I said it is evidently going higher sooner than most think.

As for the equities being mispriced....yes they are insanely mispriced.

Bfw

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