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The Kamala Harris problem for the Democrats is that if they do not nominate her, they will anger women voters and Black voters.  If they do nominate her, well, she is tied to Biden, and doesn't seem all that popular.  But, we have time until 2024 don't we?  Maybe inflation will be tamed, gas prices will go down, world peace will be achieved, and climate change will be halted in its tracks. Maybe covid and monkey pox will be in the rear view mirror and the drought in the western US will be ameliorated with consistent off and on showers, not too much to cause mud slides, but enough to fill reservoirs.  Maybe the airlines will cease losing luggage and delaying flights. Maybe people will use guns solely for self-protection and there will no longer be mass shootings.

But, maybe not.

Last edited by irwin

The only Republican who can probably lose the 2024 race is Trump.  The folks who voted against him are probably not going to switch teams and vote for him in the next election.  They were given the choice, and they chose Biden over Trump, many because it was a matter of "anybody but Trump".  I doubt these voters will say "Gee, Trump will do better than Biden if we give him another chance."

If Ron DeSantis runs and Trump does not, I think he's the next President.

Of course, a lot of things can happen between now and November 2024.

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