Looks like Palm Beach and area have a target on ourselves.   I painted one on Mar-A-Lago just to orient the storm.  No one acting like nuts yet.  Food and water still on shelves

Will really screw up the weekend as we have a large golf tourney at the Club.   Hopefully PR will avoid any damage this year.  When we were there in May we could still see many Blue Tarps. 

Original Post

Too soon to tell, however the two main models [Euro & GFS] point to different paths.  Euro has it closer to us, and the GFS has it pointed more towards JAX.  Also possible cat 2.

Latest Wunderground forecast has it hitting Florida as a Category 3 storm.  Ayeeyah...  Time to start buying water, bread and tuna fish.

Rothko posted:

Latest Wunderground forecast has it hitting Florida as a Category 3 storm.  Ayeeyah...  Time to start buying water, bread and tuna fish.

Add wine, matches, and candles.   Not ready to put up shutters yet, but will bring in small items from patio

Rothko posted:

People are starting to go crazy at Publix.  Looks like we may get a hit from this after all.

If they are crazy can you imagine Walmart?

Sorry about painting the target on Mar-A-Lago.  We button up tommorow and head north.  Latest track has it direct at Palm Beach Gardens.  Been thru a couple 1's, but not looking forward to a 4.  Got my gas yesterday.  Range on my X5 is 550 miles. 

We have dear friends that have a home in Orlando and one here.  I'll give you one guess who is boarding a flight in Orlando today and flying to DFW.

This one is looking nasty.  We all know it can take a last minute turn or fall apart or what not but all indications are you guys are in for one serious ride come Sunday and Monday.  Stay safe as best you can. 

Kim has a conference at the Naples Ritz next week Tues-Thurs. The conference was cancelled but I talked her into keeping the rooms, adding sunday and Monday night and taking off with the kids. Ill be out working so this takes a biiiiiiiig stress off me.

Making plans to get off of Palm Beach by Sunday or Monday (they are going to issue an evacuation order), and go to Palm Beach Gardens to ride out the storm.

Combination of a 3 or 4 along with year high background tides doesn't bode well.  I hope this think takes a weird jag north.  Possible, but not likely.  Fingers crossed.

PH

Good luck to all especially the Palm Beach crowd of the South Florida wine group.  We look pretty ok here in Key West barring something truly crazy and we had a friend of ours shutter up the Hollywood house.

jburman82 posted:

Kim has a conference at the Naples Ritz next week Tues-Thurs. The conference was cancelled but I talked her into keeping the rooms, adding sunday and Monday night and taking off with the kids. Ill be out working so this takes a biiiiiiiig stress off me.

Hope you make it there, very nice with two very good Norman courses.

jburman82 posted:

I'm digging this eastward shift!!!

You got that right.  Great news when I saw the forecast this morning

Nice to see some of the familiar names are still on here.

As always, these storms hug the east coast and constantly threaten us here in SC. If they are south of me I am always watching. Good for you in S Florida as it looks as though you dodged a monster. The latest models have it off the coast in the Carolinas, but as always, life stops until it passes. I guess I should consider myself fortunate since there is a chance for storms to go to sea, something not possible if you live on the Gulf Coast.

 

Some of my most enjoyable weeks have been spent in the Bahamas.  I hope that the folks there can recover from this mess.  Good luck to all of you in FL, GA, NC and SC.  This is one serious hurricane.  As an aside, our commander-in-chief says he's never heard of a Cat 5 hurricane.  There have been four since he took office.  As usual, dialed in, on top of things and ready to meet all challenges.  

PH

Still waiting for the effects of the storm.  Probably going to bail out today and head inland a bit.

Abacos and Grand Bahama are getting clobbered. 

Dorian is the strongest storm to threaten the East Coast. I am likely evacuating tomorrow. This will be third time in five years.

jburman82 posted:

This is entirely too close for comfort. I'm so glad Kim and the kids went to Naples. 

Too bad you couldn't go with them.  Hoping that Dorian turns north soon!

Looks like it is turning finally.  Foreal turning.  Latest track has it heading pretty much for NC at the moment.  Upper corner of FL is barely still in the cone.  We'll see if it holds.

Turned out well for us - horrible for the Bahamas - with whom we have a lot of overlap here in Key West (many of the founding families here came from the Bahamas)

We are getting the occasional downpour from the far exterior bands

We bailed out of Palm Beach and went over to the mainland.  In hindsight, we didn't need to; but at the time it was the right decision, I think.

Some wind and rain, but nothing very unusual or powerful.  I did spot one sunken boat in the Intracoastal as we were driving back.

I feel so bad for the Bahamas.  The Abacos and Grand Bahama Island got clobbered, and the storm just stayed over them for about two days.  The videos I've been seeing of the damage there only highlights how powerful and dangerous this storm is.

Hurricanes, tornados, earthquakes, forest fires.  All bad. Fortunately, not much of any of them in Maryland.    Feeling bad for the Bahamas. No drinking water. 50% of houses with major destruction.  Just awful.

Back from Orlando.  Just a bit of rain days before, but none as storm passed. Five Cat 5's in 5 years.  What no climate change?  

My heart is also with those east of us.  If it had not stopped to destroy those folks and islands, it would have come to us.  They will take years to recover.  Maybe we can take some of that 92 Billion given to PR. and pass it to the Bahama's

flwino posted:

... 92 Billion given to PR....

Have you been hanging around with napacat?  $42.5B allocated, and $14B actually received. 

I don't argue that the Bamahas deserve our support, but don't repeat false news from trumpistan, please.  It does not help at all.

PH

Bahamas  population is about 400,000 people. About 3.2 million live in Puerto Rico.  I would assume that it would cost more to rehabilitate a bigger place with more houses, roads, infrastructure, all other things being equal.  

purplehaze posted:
flwino posted:

... 92 Billion given to PR....

Have you been hanging around with napacat?  $42.5B allocated, and $14B actually received. 

I don't argue that the Bamahas deserve our support, but don't repeat false news from trumpistan, please.  It does not help at all.

PH

No!  I was parroting the orange haired idiots claim [Bold Face Lie].

irwin posted:

Bahamas  population is about 400,000 people. About 3.2 million live in Puerto Rico.  I would assume that it would cost more to rehabilitate a bigger place with more houses, roads, infrastructure, all other things being equal.  

And only a portion of the Bahamas was impacted.  About 70,000 people in the Grand Bahama and Abacos.  The death toll is at about 30 now, but expected to increase dramatically as recovery crews can get into the outlying areas that were flooded and destroyed by wind.

Lots of local efforts being made down here to assist our neighbors in the Bahamas.  I was at Costco yesterday and people were buying massive amounts of bottled water, generators, food, etc.   I have to assume that they are planning to donate them.  I have friends who have organized supply donations, air transport, etc. to get medical supplies and other goods over there.  I know some who are planning to go over by boat this weekend to deliver supplies.  The local cruise ship left last night with volunteers, including about 50 doctors, to go to Freeport to assist.

Still, one of the best ways to help is to donate to the Red Cross or other relief organizations who have the experience and logistics to properly assist the Bahamians.

Key West's sister city is Green Turtle Cay and there is a large effort to provide relief to there.  A lot of local families are from there originally

flwino posted:
purplehaze posted:
flwino posted:

... 92 Billion given to PR....

Have you been hanging around with napacat?  $42.5B allocated, and $14B actually received. 

I don't argue that the Bamahas deserve our support, but don't repeat false news from trumpistan, please.  It does not help at all.

PH

No!  I was parroting the orange haired idiots claim [Bold Face Lie].

Sorry to have missed the sarcasm.  Cheers.

PH

jcocktosten posted:

Key West's sister city is Green Turtle Cay and there is a large effort to provide relief to there.  A lot of local families are from there originally

A neighbor of ours had a house on Green Turtle, up near the Bluff House, that was destroyed in the storm.  Unfortunately, it was self-insured, so I am not certain if they will be able to rebuild.  Ironically, the dock was still in perfect condition - they think because the storm surge was so high that the dock went completely underwater and therefore was not affected by the winds or waves.

Surprised no tweets from the idiot re a Cat 5 and the Bahamas.  Maybe it didn't happen.  Must have hit Alabama or NapaCat

flwino posted:

Surprised no tweets from the idiot re a Cat 5 and the Bahamas.  Maybe it didn't happen.  Must have hit Alabama or NapaCat

You are one bitter old woman. Too much hate in you! Hate now defines this once wonderful site. Reading here used to be a delight.

mikemann posted:
! Hate now defines this once wonderful site. Reading here used to be a delight.

I took a moment to read your "contributions' to the site for the past year.  One wine related post (September 23 of last year), and everything else either pro-trump idiocy or negative and definitely un-delightful crap pointed at other posters.  Seriously, why do you even come here?

PH

Bingo PH.  Mike keeps pointing out how bitter and mean and ugly everybody else is but fails to see he is exactly what he abhors in others.

wineismylife posted:

Bingo PH.  Mike keeps pointing out how bitter and mean and ugly everybody else is but fails to see he is exactly what he abhors in others.

Grand total of 124 posts

17% of the Bahamian population is homeless as a result of Dorian.  70,000 people.  Even if they get power and infrastructure back up, I think the northern islands will be more like they were 30 or 40 years ago - much lower population and density.

Anyone who can get out is going either to Nassau or to the U.S., and once they go there, they may not ever return to Grand Bahama or the Abacos.

We are getting involved down here in Florida with helping the refugees who have made it over to our area.  They need basic items:  clothes, toiletries, etc.  Some of them came with literally only the clothes they were wearing.

Rothko posted:

17% of the Bahamian population is homeless as a result of Dorian.  70,000 people.  Even if they get power and infrastructure back up, I think the northern islands will be more like they were 30 or 40 years ago - much lower population and density.

Anyone who can get out is going either to Nassau or to the U.S., and once they go there, they may not ever return to Grand Bahama or the Abacos.

We are getting involved down here in Florida with helping the refugees who have made it over to our area.  They need basic items:  clothes, toiletries, etc.  Some of them came with literally only the clothes they were wearing.

One of my friends flew relief supplies there this morning

Rothko posted:

 

We are getting involved down here in Florida with helping the refugees who have made it over to our area.  They need basic items:  clothes, toiletries, etc.  Some of them came with literally only the clothes they were wearing.

Are there any specific local organizations we should consider making monetary contributions?  I know American Red Cross and other large organizations may already be involved, but I am always wary that dollars don't always flow to the individual(s).

doubled posted:
Rothko posted:

 

We are getting involved down here in Florida with helping the refugees who have made it over to our area.  They need basic items:  clothes, toiletries, etc.  Some of them came with literally only the clothes they were wearing.

Are there any specific local organizations we should consider making monetary contributions?  I know American Red Cross and other large organizations may already be involved, but I am always wary that dollars don't always flow to the individual(s).

I am sure there are others, but this is our local relief effort Key West Cares.  If you look it up, there were a number of news articles on it.

 

https://www.facebook.com/groups/Keywestcares/

https://www.keywestcares.com/

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