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Reply to "Coronavirus 2019"

@bman posted:

Sounds like stuff from Fox or Breitbart BS to me.

He's trying to argue that cv19 isn't exponential growth. when the covid-19 first hit the states the R0 was north of 2.6 using average estimates across various scientists, which is indeed exponential growth.  The current estimate for R0 where folks are hunkering down, wearing masks shows an consensus R0 of roughly 1 to 1.6. 

So definitely better, but there is still at large % of the US population that can still catch the disease, contrary to what white house officials are talking about with their "herd immunity" If you gave up masks and social distancing, it's pretty obv the R0 of this disease is going back to exponential growth.

Also folks talking about the death rate, do the incorrect assumption that you calculate the death rate amongst the entire population, where as it should be calculated against those who have actually caught it and ended up going to the hospital.

https://nyulangone.org/news/st...death-rates-covid-19

ie don't catch it, and if you do and you gotta goto the hospital, you're kind of already fucked, unless you happen to be able to afford some great care.

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