My point was was they now have the best resume, not about their tourney chances. Yes, recent UVA teams have not made it as far as expected, but none of those teams won at Duke, who is better this year than the last two years and probably the hardest place to win in the country.
And Bagley still had the kind of day (30 pts, 14 RB, 2/4 3 pt) that makes him the #1 draft pick. In their previous game, they beat #18 Clemson 61-36. They would be favored over every team in the country right now on a neutral court.